-
Metaculus is an
American re****tion-based, m****ive
online prediction solicitation and
aggregation engine. One of the
focuses of
Metaculus is predicting...
- Institute. In 2015, he co-founded the
aggregated prediction platform Metaculus with Greg Laughlin. In 2019, he
published the pop
science book Cosmological...
- year (equivalent to 5% per century, on average). As of June 8, 2025,
Metaculus users estimate a 0.3%
probability of
human extinction by 2100. According...
- for U.S. residents.
Manifold is a re****tion-based
prediction market.
Metaculus is a re****tion-based
prediction website with the
ability to make numeric-range...
- to high-stakes decisions".
Notable grantees include Philip Tetlock and
Metaculus. This
program aims to "grow and
empower the
community of
people focused...
-
Eriophyes Gilarovella Glyptacus Keiferella Leipothrix Liroella Mesalox Metaculus Monochetus Neooxycenus Neotegonotus Oxycenus Paraphytoptus "Pentamerus"...
- Next year in 2015, he co-founded the
aggregated prediction platform Metaculus with
Anthony Aguirre. "Gregory Laughlin".
Retrieved March 5, 2018. "The...
-
Uniswap automated market maker,
known as "maniswap".
Polymarket Kalshi Metaculus PredictIt "Why a "room-temperature superconductor"
would be a huge deal"...
- cosmologist, co-founder of the ****ure of Life
Institute and
prediction platform Metaculus)
Tristan Harris (American
technology ethicist and co-founder of the Center...
- the organization.[non-primary
source needed]
Kalshi Intrade iPredict Metaculus "New
prediction market tabs Jeb Bush as
frontrunner for 2016 GOP nomination"...
